Ukraine crisis causes economy to slump drastically

Written by Patrick Hussy | 06 March 2022
Posted in sentix Economic News

The economy in the Eurozone slumps dramatically due to the Ukraine crisis. The overall index falls to its lowest value since November 2020, with expectations eroding particularly sharply by -34.75 points. This has never happened before in the 20-year history of the sentix economic index! The picture in Germany is also comparable. The Eastern European region suffers particularly strongly and falls into a deep recession. The US economy is also being hit by the crisis shock, although not quite as hard. On the positive side, the economic situation there re-mains at 29.8 points and so far only indicates an economic slowdown. The Asian economic region is also in the wake of the global downward trend.

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sentix Survey results (09-2022)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 March 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Investors in panic mode

The past week saw a significant rise in investor fears of a widening of the Ukraine conflict and major economic dislocations. We measure a multitude of all-time highs or lows in our data! At the same time, investors have also reduced their portfolio risks. Professionals are similarly cautiously positioned as they were at the time of the Corona Crash in March 2020. Will we see a similar recovery process?

Further results

• Crude oil: Euphoria
• Gold: Sentiment as last seen in 2011
• sentix economic index: Monday, 07^th March 2022 at 10:30 CET

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (08-2022)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 27 February 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Signs of life

The equity bias (here USA) sends a sign of life once again for a long time, while equity sentiment remains downbeat. At the depressed price levels, more investors are now declaring their willingness to buy stocks. The investment degrees of the institutional ones prove: The now strong underinvestment opens up clear potential for a price recovery. U.S. bonds are also showing a similar sign of life, with their bias rising significantly.

Further results

• Equities: Signs of life
• US-Bonds: Signs of life
• Commodities: TD-Extreme on the top
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (07-2022)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 20 February 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment buy signals

Sentiment on equities has deteriorated significantly over the week. For US equities, the number of bullish investors fell to the lowest level since 2017. This creates opportunities for contrarian investors, as statistically the S&P 500 rose significantly in around 75% of cases in subsequent weeks.

Further results

• Gold: High sentiment weighs
• Crude oil: Strategic confidence continues to decline
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

sentix Survey results (06-2022)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 February 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fear of war and medium-term concerns

Fears of war arise! Investors are increasingly worried and also look negatively into the medium-term future: The bias for the U.S. equity market falls below the zero line even among institutional investors. The last time this situation occurred was in the midst of the Corona Crash in 2020. Energy prices in particular could be affected by an outbreak of war in Ukraine. One thing is certain: High risks for the oil price are already indicated!

Further results

• Bonds: Bonds might turn
• Commodities: Oil price already facing high risks
• sentix Sector Sentiment: All-time high in bank sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)