Investors view a “Brexit” as a growing concern for the EU

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The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) remains unchanged at 16.7% in April. The force behind the persistent break-up risks remains unfavourable news from the Aegean. Though, investors shift their attention to the European Union level amid an intensifying “Brexit” debate. As investors only see a moderate probability for a “Brexit”, however, the associated risks could threaten the stability of the EU.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 16-2016

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Weder Fisch noch Fleisch

Am Aktienmarkt herrscht Kauflaune. Zumindest gilt dies für die Privatinvestoren, denn die jüngsten Daten zum Investitionsverhalten der Privaten belegen, dass die Aktienquoten in den Portfolios wieder erhöht wurden. Die institutionellen Investoren halten sich bislang vornehm zurück. Ihr Investitionsgrad ist noch weit von den Quoten entfernt, welche sie zum Jahresende 2015 gehalten haben. Sie verhalten sich damit konform Ihrer strategischen Einschätzung.

Geänderte Einschätzung: keine

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix ASR Essentials 16-2016

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Investors still constructive on medium-term outlook for Equities

While near-term optimism on equities has weakened in the past week and remains at relatively modest levels, the latest sentix survey indicates that investors are becoming more constructive on global equities from a medium-term strategic perspective. In the Eurozone, investors’ over-investment in equities is edging back up towards longer-term average levels (see Chart 7a, p3). In the case of Asian equity markets, investors have also become markedly less negative on Japan and China from a strategic perspective (Charts 2-3, p2). This chimes with their more upbeat views on the outlook for commodities. On the other side of the sentiment divide, readings based on investors’ views on the medium-term strategic outlook for Bunds remain well below their Q1 highs. A move towards risk-on is still evident in survey readings based on investors’ medium-term strategic bias on markets.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 15-2016

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Chinesische Aktien mit positiven Signalen

Einen bemerkenswerten Anstieg der strategischen Zuversicht der von sentix befragten Anleger messen wir im aktuellen sentix Global Investor Survey. Diese Entwicklung hebt sich deutlich von den Daten zu den anderen betrachteten Aktienmärkten ab. Dennoch ist dies nur eine Vorindikation zu einem Kaufsignal. Die Bestätigung von der Preisseite steht noch aus.

Geänderte Einschätzung: keine

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Rising confidence in Chinese stocks

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The latest sentix Global Investor Survey reveals a bullish signal for Chinese stocks amid persistent global market caution. The sentix indicator points to a potential change of the prevailing market regime.

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